Wednesday, December 31, 2008

Capturing intraday price moves for maximum effect

The essence of medium-term trading is determining where a currency pair is likely to go over the next several hours or days and constructing a trading strategy to exploit that view. Medium-term traders typically pursue one of the following overall approaches, with plenty of room to combine strategies:

_ Trading a view: Having a fundamental-based opinion on which way a currency pair is likely to move. View trades are typically based on prevailing market themes, like interest rate expectations or economic growth trends. View traders still need to be aware of technical levels as part of an overall trading plan.

_ Trading the technicals: Basing your market outlook on chart patterns, trend lines, support and resistance levels, and momentum studies. Technical traders typically spot a trade opportunity on their charts, but they still need to be aware of fundamental events, because they’re the catalysts for many breaks of technical levels.

_ Trading events and data: Basing positions on expected outcomes of events, like a central bank rate decision or a G7 meeting, or individual data reports. Event/data traders typically open positions well in advance of events and close them when the outcome is known.

_ Trading with the flow: Trading based on overall market direction (trend) or information of major buying and selling (flows). To trade on flow information, look for a broker that offers market flow commentary, like that found in FOREX.com’s .Flow traders tend to stay out of shortterm range-bound markets and jump in only when a market move is under way.

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